I think the reason there haven't been clear realigning elections since FDR is that since the New Deal the administrative managerial state has had more power than the elected government, even Reagan only succeeded in slowing its growth.
From that point of view 2024 can be a realigning election if DOGE succeeds in dismantling it.
It might have some effect, but realigning elections is mainly about voting behavior. I am skeptical that the administrative state has had much effect on that.
I think the reason there haven't been clear realigning elections since FDR is that since the New Deal the administrative managerial state has had more power than the elected government, even Reagan only succeeded in slowing its growth.
From that point of view 2024 can be a realigning election if DOGE succeeds in dismantling it.
It might have some effect, but realigning elections is mainly about voting behavior. I am skeptical that the administrative state has had much effect on that.